Caravaggio vs US Ponte San Pietro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEV
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
RAD
7%
14%
79%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BUS
1 - 2
CAR
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAS
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 4
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
US Ponte San Pietro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USP
2 - 2
CAS
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
2 - 0
USP
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
USP
2 - 0
TRI
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
USP
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
USP
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |