Caravaggio vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRI
40%
23%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NIB
2 - 2
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
CRE
2 - 3
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
SON
40%
22%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 1
CAL
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
SCA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 0
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
SON
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |