Caravaggio vs Scanzorosciate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 2
CAR
71%
17%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
VCB
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAS
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
DES
3 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 2
USB
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 0
SCA
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SCA
5 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
SCA
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SCA
2 - 3
SON
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |