Catarinense 2 Knock-outs Final
Caravaggio FC vs Santa Catarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+184%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
JUV
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
CFC
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 0
MET
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 2
CFC
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CFC
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Catarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SCA
0 - 0
CAM
22%
23%
54%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
SCA
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 1
JUV
34%
24%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
SCA
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
SCA
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |