Carapinheirense vs Penelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ANC
3 - 2
CAR
18%
22%
61%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
EIR
81%
12%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PAM
1 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
LAG
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
4 - 0
FEB
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
PEN
32%
24%
45%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 1
PEN
20%
22%
59%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 0
EIR
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 1
PEN
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |