Caracas vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 1
URE
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
CFC
27%
29%
45%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CFC
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 0
ZUL
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 0
CFC
50%
27%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
TRU
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
STR
2 - 1
TRU
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
TRU
0 - 4
RIV
20%
25%
55%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TRU
3 - 0
LLA
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 3
TRU
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |