Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 2
CFC
29%
28%
42%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZUL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
UCV
1 - 0
CFC
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CFC
34%
29%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
ZUL
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
EST
3 - 0
UCV
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
UCV
1 - 2
EST
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |