Caracas II vs SD Centro Ítalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
TUR
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GAS
1 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TRU
2 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
ANG
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
AME
1 - 2
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SD Centro Ítalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 2
TRU
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 1
ARA
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
AME
0 - 5
ITA
12%
20%
68%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
ARA
0 - 0
ITA
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |