Carabobo vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 3
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CAR
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
MET
32%
28%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 1
ARA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 2
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
DEP
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |