Carabobo vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZUL
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 3
LAR
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 1
CAR
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
ZAM
30%
29%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 1
MIN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 3
MIR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ZAM
4 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
DEP
34%
30%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |