Capivariano vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
CAP
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAP
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
CAP
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BER
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
BER
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
BER
3 - 1
DES
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 2
BER
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BER
1 - 1
BAT
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |