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Brasiliense. Matchday 11

Capital Brasilia Sobradinho
46 ELO 27
-37% Tilt -25%
1459º General ELO ranking 4091º
97º Country ELO ranking 260º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Capital Brasilia
31.5%
Draw
23.1%
Sobradinho

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
Capital Brasilia
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
23.1%
Win probability
Sobradinho
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Capital Brasilia
-18%
+16%
Sobradinho

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gama
31
31
100%
Brasiliense
28
28
100%
Real Futebol Clube
23
23
100%
Formosa
19
19
100%
Taguatinga
16
16
100%
Capital Brasilia
15
15
100%
Luziânia
14
14
100%
Sobradinho
13
13
100%
Unaí
12
12
100%
Ceilândia
10º
8
8
10º
100%
Ceilandense
11º
3
3
11º
100%
Paranoá
12º
2
2
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Capital Brasilia
Sobradinho
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Capital Brasilia
CAP
Sobradinho
SOB
Real Futebol Clube
DOM
Gama
GAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Capital Brasilia
Capital Brasilia
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2020
CAP
Capital Brasilia
4 - 0
Sobradinho
SOB
57%
23%
20%
793 333 460 +1
14 Mar. 2020
CAP
Capital Brasilia
1 - 1
Unaí
SED
47%
27%
26%
793 796 -3 0
07 Mar. 2020
BRA
Brasiliense
3 - 1
Capital Brasilia
CAP
33%
27%
39%
795 355 -440 -1
05 Mar. 2020
GAM
Gama
2 - 2
Capital Brasilia
CAP
39%
27%
34%
795 513 -282 0
01 Mar. 2020
CAP
Capital Brasilia
2 - 2
Luziânia
LUZ
55%
24%
21%
795 422 373 0

Matches

Sobradinho
Sobradinho
1%
X%
2%
ELO SOB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2020
CAP
Capital Brasilia
4 - 0
Sobradinho
SOB
57%
23%
20%
333 793 460 -1
14 Mar. 2020
SOB
Sobradinho
1 - 4
Luziânia
LUZ
41%
28%
31%
334 421 -87 -1
08 Mar. 2020
CEI
Ceilandense
0 - 3
Sobradinho
SOB
57%
23%
20%
333 899 566 +2
05 Mar. 2020
SOB
Sobradinho
1 - 3
Ceilândia
CEI
45%
27%
28%
334 320 14 -1
01 Mar. 2020
SOB
Sobradinho
2 - 2
Formosa
FOR
46%
27%
27%
334 366 -32 0