Canvey Island vs Northwood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
CAN
0 - 1
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CAN
2 - 2
ARL
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
CAN
4 - 4
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
CAN
4 - 0
ILF
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CAN
3 - 0
WIN
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
NOR
6 - 0
WAL
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
WAR
4 - 1
NOR
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 1
WIV
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 2
AVE
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 3
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |