Canberra City vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
WOD
3 - 0
CAN
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
CAN
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
COO
2 - 1
CAN
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 6
CAN
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAN
5 - 0
CAN
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
TUG
1 - 3
CAN
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TUG
1 - 3
BEL
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TUG
2 - 1
IOS
35%
23%
43%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
WOD
1 - 2
TUG
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TUG
2 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |