Canada vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
CRI
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
4 - 1
PAN
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
JAM
0 - 0
CAN
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 1
CAN
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
3 - 0
SLV
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 3
ECU
63%
21%
16%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 2
MEX
7%
19%
75%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 1
CAN
77%
16%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | -1 |