Canada vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 2
CAN
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
HTI
1 - 4
CAN
23%
24%
54%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
CAN
4 - 1
MTQ
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
HND
0 - 2
QAT
38%
26%
37%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAN
2 - 3
HND
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
HND
4 - 0
GRD
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
HND
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |