Cambrian & Clydach vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian & Clydach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
3 - 3
LLA
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
5 - 0
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
UND
2 - 3
CAM
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 1
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
CAM
25%
23%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
DUN
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
4 - 0
NEW
62%
20%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 5
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 4
ABE
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |