Calvina vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FAN
3 - 2
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 3
CRE
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AXY
1 - 2
CAL
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
PSM
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CLA
1 - 0
FIO
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 0
REG
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 0
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 1
CRE
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AXY
0 - 2
FIO
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |