Calig vs Benicarlo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
4 - 0
TIR
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
5 - 0
ATZ
88%
8%
3%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
CHE
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 3
CAL
16%
18%
67%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
8 - 0
ESP
53%
20%
26%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Benicarlo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CLU
0 - 1
BNC
5%
11%
84%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BNC
6 - 0
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TRR
1 - 2
BNC
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BNC
7 - 0
BEN
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 3
BNC
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |