Caldicot Town vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
48.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldicot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
GOY
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
CWU
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +4 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MON
4 - 1
CAL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAL
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 3
UND
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
LID
5 - 0
CWM
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
LID
1 - 0
PON
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
LID
1 - 1
GOY
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
HAV
0 - 4
LID
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LID
4 - 3
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |