Calders vs Palillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+150%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 2
CAL
23%
23%
55%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FON
1 - 2
CAL
31%
23%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAL
9 - 0
CIV
67%
17%
15%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPM
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 4
BAL
29%
21%
50%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SPM
7 - 1
PAL
69%
16%
15%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 1
PIP
62%
19%
20%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 2
PAL
62%
20%
19%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAL
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |