Caldense vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
53.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
URT
1 - 3
CAL
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
AMF
7%
22%
71%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
APA
3 - 1
CAL
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
APA
23%
28%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
TOM
90%
8%
2%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
POA
68%
18%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
TOM
3 - 0
DES
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 0
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 1
ITU
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |