Caldense vs Espirito Santo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
CAL
30%
29%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 2
CAL
67%
22%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
AUD
21%
27%
52%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Espirito Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
AUD
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
ESP
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
BOA
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 0
ESP
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
43%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |