Caldas vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+124%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 1
CAL
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 6
CAL
35%
24%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAF
1 - 0
CAL
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 2
ATL
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 1
UDL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ADP
2 - 3
UDL
12%
21%
66%
|
53 | 17 | 36 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
UDL
2 - 1
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |