Serie C Playoffs Ascenso. Final
Global 0-2
Padova vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
FCC
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
PAD
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 1
JS2
66%
23%
12%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
JS2
0 - 1
PAD
17%
25%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 2
VIR
71%
21%
8%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
FER
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
FER
0 - 3
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 2
ACD
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
ACD
1 - 2
PAL
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
TRI
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |