Padova vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 2
TRA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
PAD
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 1
ACD
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TER
2 - 1
PAD
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPE
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
EMP
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 1
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
USC
80%
13%
6%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |