Padova vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 1
VIC
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
PAD
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
ABN
1 - 0
PAD
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASG
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 0
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 2
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ABN
0 - 4
LIV
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 0
EMP
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |