Coppa Italia Serie C . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Padova vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCS
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
PAD
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 0
JS2
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEO
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 2
FCC
19%
27%
54%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 0
USF
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
FCC
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
ABN
0 - 1
FCC
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 1
JUS
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |