Padova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VER
2 - 0
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 0
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
FAN
2 - 0
PAD
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 1
CAG
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
PRO
2 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 0
VIC
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SAL
2 - 1
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |