Padova vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 0
PAD
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 0
PIS
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 2
NOV
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
ARZ
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRO
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
REG
0 - 5
ARZ
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SPA
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |