Marano vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 1
SCM
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SCM
1 - 0
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GIO
0 - 1
SCM
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SCM
5 - 1
TAM
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
SCM
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ACE
3 - 1
DCA
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 4
ACE
42%
26%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ACE
0 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 1
ACE
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ACE
2 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |