Lecco vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 2
LEC
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
3 - 2
BRE
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ABN
4 - 1
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
ALV
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACL
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
ABN
1 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASL
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
USA
0 - 2
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |