Lecco vs AC Montichiari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 0
LEC
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
BOR
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 2
USP
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CUN
4 - 0
LEC
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACG
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 3
CAS
38%
27%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
ACM
67%
21%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 2
ACS
66%
21%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACD
0 - 1
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |