Desenzano Calvina vs US Ponte San Pietro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
DES
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DES
0 - 3
FAN
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SON
2 - 1
DES
27%
22%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
VCB
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 3
DES
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
US Ponte San Pietro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
USP
3 - 1
CAL
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
USP
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
USP
2 - 2
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
USP
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |