Calamonte vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
AMA
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
CAL
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 0
VAL
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
CAL
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
EXT
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
JER
2 - 0
ARR
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 1
AZU
39%
25%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 0
ARR
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
UCL
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 0
ARR
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |