Calais vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CAL
2 - 0
LOR
20%
25%
54%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LIL
0 - 0
CAL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
FCM
1 - 1
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 1
LHA
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAL
3 - 1
SOC
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
LEN
0 - 2
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LEN
3 - 2
RCE
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
LIL
2 - 0
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LEN
2 - 0
LSC
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
FCM
2 - 2
LEN
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |