Cagliari vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 2
CAG
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
REG
3 - 1
CAG
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CAG
0 - 0
TRE
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAG
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
EMP
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
SAM
0 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2005 |
HAL
1 - 3
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
LAZ
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |