Cagliari vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
55.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAG
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAG
2 - 2
PAR
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
INT
1 - 1
CAG
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 2
CAG
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
INT
4 - 1
CAG
69%
19%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
INT
0 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 3
LEC
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 4
NAP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |