Cagliari vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CAG
1 - 1
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAG
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
CAG
3 - 0
PES
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CAT
0 - 3
CAG
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
CAG
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ASC
2 - 1
PES
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 0
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASC
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ASC
2 - 2
TER
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ASC
2 - 2
TRI
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |