Cafetaleros vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
32.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CAF
3 - 2
ATS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAF
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
LOB
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
LOB
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 0
NEC
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -3 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
UDG
67%
21%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |