Cafetaleros vs Leviatán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
10º
1º
7
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 0 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
PAC
4 - 0
CAF
12%
20%
69%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZAC
5 - 2
CAF
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
CAF
1 - 2
ZAC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAF
3 - 1
REB
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
REB
0 - 1
CAF
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Leviatán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 3
DON
10%
15%
74%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
IPC
4 - 0
LEV
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 59 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 0
LEV
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 1
MON
7%
15%
78%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
LEV
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 61 | 43 | 0 |