Cafetaleros vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 1
UAP
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LOB
2 - 1
CAF
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAF
2 - 0
TAM
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 2
CAF
30%
27%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAF
3 - 3
UDG
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 1
TEP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 2
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
TEP
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 3
ATL
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -3 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
TEP
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |