Caernarfon Town FC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
8º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 5
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FLI
2 - 1
CAE
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 3
NEW
39%
24%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 8
TNS
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
TNS
7 - 0
AIR
89%
8%
3%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
TNS
11 - 0
ABE
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |