Caernarfon Town FC vs Ruthin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
10%
16%
74%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 2
RHY
43%
22%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAE
6%
13%
81%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 2
DEN
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 5
CAE
13%
18%
70%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ruthin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
RTW
2 - 1
FLI
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RTW
1 - 4
GRE
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
RTW
1 - 7
PRE
5%
12%
83%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
RTW
6 - 2
CAE
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 2
RTW
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |