Caernarfon Town FC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
PRE
3 - 2
CAE
36%
23%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 3
CAE
7%
14%
79%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
CAR
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 1
MOL
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 3
CAE
22%
21%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RTW
1 - 2
POR
15%
20%
66%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DEN
4 - 6
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
POR
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
74%
16%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
GRE
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |