Caernarfon Town FC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
CAE
79%
13%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
COR
0 - 2
CAE
4%
8%
88%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 3
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAE
36%
25%
40%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAE
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
RHY
0 - 2
CON
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 0
CON
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
PAR
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
KIL
0 - 2
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |