Caerleon vs Goytre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRY
22%
22%
57%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HAV
4 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GOY
1 - 4
CAM
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
TON
2 - 0
GOY
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 2
GOY
59%
19%
21%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GOY
2 - 4
CAE
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 1
GOY
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |