Caen vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
CAE
3 - 1
DIJ
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 0
REI
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
GAZ
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
CAE
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 1
NAN
55%
26%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
STL
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
AUX
0 - 4
MET
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
USB
1 - 0
MET
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
MET
1 - 3
CHE
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ORL
0 - 2
MET
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |