Cádiz vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAD
12%
20%
68%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
AGD
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAD
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 4
CAD
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAD
2 - 0
MAL
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 1
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
SSR
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RVB
1 - 1
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
CHI
9%
20%
71%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
CPC
35%
29%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |