Copa del Rey . 1/16

CP Cacereño vs Real Madrid analysis

CP Cacereño Real Madrid
48 ELO 94
0.2% Tilt -18.5%
4008º General ELO ranking
116º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
2.2%
CP Cacereño
10.2%
Draw
87.6%
Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.2%
Win probability
CP Cacereño
0.26
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
10.1%
87.6%
Win probability
Real Madrid
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
19.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
16.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
19.9%
0-4
11%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO progression

CP Cacereño
Real Madrid
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CP Cacereño
CP Cacereño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2022
CPC
CP Cacereño
2 - 1
Girona
GIR
8%
18%
74%
47 79 32 0
11 Dec. 2022
DBN
CD Don Benito
2 - 3
CP Cacereño
CPC
28%
27%
45%
46 36 10 +1
04 Dec. 2022
CPC
CP Cacereño
2 - 2
Gimnástica Segoviana
SEG
57%
23%
21%
47 43 4 -1
27 Nov. 2022
EST
CD Estepona
0 - 0
CP Cacereño
CPC
26%
26%
48%
47 35 12 0
20 Nov. 2022
CPC
CP Cacereño
3 - 0
Atlético B
ATB
37%
25%
38%
45 48 3 +2

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2022
VAD
Real Valladolid
0 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
8%
17%
75%
94 80 14 0
23 Dec. 2022
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Getafe
GET
86%
11%
4%
94 82 12 0
15 Dec. 2022
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 1
Leganés
LEG
90%
8%
2%
94 73 21 0
10 Nov. 2022
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
85%
11%
4%
94 78 16 0
07 Nov. 2022
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
9%
17%
74%
94 81 13 0
X